Osama Bin Laden message decoded
Is Bin Laden saying China’s CNPC oil company is a plunder and new al-Qaida target
Afrocentric analysis
By Isiah Scott
If CNPC and Exxon Mobil announced that all East African oil deals will be a 50/50 profit sharing, with 90 percent of the billion of dollars profit going to areas the oil fields are located, most of the growing tension in region would disappear. Rejecting the terms of the World Bank –backed pipeline and revenue sharing would allow the region the necessary billion of dollars of capital to ordering develop the none oil sectors of the economy.
According to the New York Times in its op-ed “Osama’s Crusade In Darfur”, says rather than change the rate of looting by the multinationals of Chad, Sudan and other oil rich African states, “ The White House can invite the survivors (Darfur) for a photo-op so they themselves can recount…. how their children were beheaded and their mosques destroyed.” Maybe the New York Times and the White House will also invite some Oyo people from Nigeria oil rich region to exchange horrors about ExxonMobil private security forces. Or maybe the White House would invite some survivors of the chemical spills in New Orleans.
Osama Bin Laden call for a new military campaign in westren Sudan by mujahedeen (Islamic fighters) rather than Janjaweed militia in fight to the death a against crusaders and plunders mark a new political and military front for al-Qaida. While it’s clear whom bin Laden means by Zionist, crusaders, the new reference to plunders appears to the door to inclusion of China in al-Qaida African campaign.
ExxonMobil and the China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC) multinational are the one and two oil players in Black African and the East African region.
Why would bin Laden want to fight CNPC for control of western Sudan.
There is shared Sino-African energy interests in Algeria, Angola, Chad, Sudan, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon and Niger and know Nigeria. China’s deepening energy partnership with Sudan represents a major area of potential confrontation between American and Chinese oil companies.
The biggest loser would be the central government of Sudan.
Sudan is China’s largest overseas production base more than half of Sudan oil exports go to China. Sudan is estimate to provide in a few years of 15 present of China oil exports. CNPC owns a 40 perecent stake in the Greater Nile Petroleum Operating Company and pumps over 300,00 barrels per day in Sudan. The Chinese oil firm Sinopec is constructing a 1500 kilometer pipeline to a new tanker terminal being built in Port Sudan on the Red Sea. Exxon Mobil and CNPC are jointly working to defeat South Sudan plans to build a alternative pipeline via Kenya to the Indian Oceans, where would reduce it dependency on either Exxon Mobil or CNPC to develop and transport its oil and other exports.
The CNPC has employed the Sudanese military and Janjaweed to control and remove the Black Sudanese from the rich southern oil fields and now Darfur oil fields and face a major up hill public relations campaign to remain in the southern region after it is partitioned from the rest of Sudan.
Many of the northern Sudanese businesses operating in the south will face the same faith as the Chinese oil companies. The writes estimates that 50 perecent of Sudan real Gross National Product will be lost when South Sudan is partition and Foreign Direct Investments are refocused away from northern Sudan and flow freely into the southern oil rich region.
According to the New York Times, there may be more oil in Sudan than Saudi Ababa. Once South Sudan is freed from the rest of Sudan there will be an international feeding friends that China will not be able to control.
Over 90 per cent of Chinese oil production and infrastructure are located in or near the southern region of Sudan that will become an independent country called South Sudan in a few years.
The leaders of South Sudan has made it clear to the world that a new 50/50 profit sharing relation will be developed between its and all foreign oil companies operating or planning to operate in South Sudan.
The central government of Sudan will lose most of its oil profits from the southern Sudan following its independence and development of military agreements with westren powers. South Sudan will become the Kuwait of Africa.
The northern non-oil Sudan economy will be downsized, as most foreign investments will be concentrated in the southern oil rich region. This hidden economic dimension of the partition of the southern region in a new country will cause on the northern regions of Sudan is a key reality behind bin Laden analysis and northern Sudanese fears. Al-Qaeda knows the only thing that makes Durfur any different than other human crisis in the world is the vast amounts of oil under the sands. When the westren UN force takes control in the fall, the whole balance of power on the ground potentially will rapidly shift away from Chinese-back Sudanese government, as the world sees first hand the horrors of Chinese oil oppression. The Black oppressed people will demand protection and compensation beyond China political and moral frame of reference. The stage will be set for the forth-nuclear confrontation over Africa, following the Congo, 1967 war and Cuban intervention in southern Africa.
In the short-run China could tens of billion of dollars of westren exports in an international boycott of its goods. Chinese could potential lose billions of infrastructure investments and over a million barrels of oil exports a day to in the long run to less oppressive westren oil companies like ExxonMobil offering better profit sharing deals to the new regime in the south. Other near by oil rich regions like Durfur and eastern Chad plan to follow the lead of South Sudan into new 50/50 profit share deals with westren oil companies.
Under this fear, over the last few years China has secretly worked with the United States to broker the South Sudan peace agreement, with the de facto understanding that their existing and planned oil expansion would be respected, once the Westren heavy armed forces replace the light armed African Union forces in Darfur and South Sudan. Because of China’s deepening oil needs and the new opportunistic Bush Sudanese policy, much of the coordination has been subordinated to China quest to incase oil exports.
Bin Laden understands this oil lobby policy change and the opportunities it offers to him and other insurgents in East Africa. A large and growing westren force in the oil rich section of Sudan offers an easy political and military target.
China’s relations with Africa have shifted to oil centric considerations and are freely exchanging aid, arms or infrastructure investments for resource considerations. The recent Chinese backing of the rebel attack on the capital of Chad demonstration the ruthlessness of the Chinese African oil policy. According to the New York Times the Chinese energy crisis is so pressing, they nolonger care about genocide in Sudan. This has been made very clear to the world by the ruthlessness of the Chinese-backed Janjaweed militia pre-rainy season attacks in Chad and southern Sudan.
With 500 China troops as part of the new UN forces massing to take over military operations in Sudan, and other 13,000 Chinese forces working as guest workers, China has overwhelming force on the ground with the best logistical supply network in Sudan.
Bin Laden called to defense the state of Sudan carefully distance al-Oaeda from the Chinese-based and protected central government of Sudan. The bin Laden call to defense of Islam, rather the regime in Sudan is critical to how Arab people and governments feel about the coming partition of southern Sudan. Bid Laden reportedly rejects the partition of Sudan into two separate political states, South Sudan and Sudan. Purportedly Bin Laden said South Sudan must stay in “Islamic lands.” Any hope of South Sudan remaining in Islam hands will end when the very powerful NATO forces replace the weaker African Union forces in Durfur and then South Sudan. Durfur will make application to become a UN protected region with the right to self-determination. South Sudan will sign security agreements with westren powers.
The Chinese and Sudanese military have been getting ready force the UN military transfer of power and its potential effects on their oil production and pipe lines in the North. There are almost 25 cities in southern; over half are still garrison by 40,000 Sudanese, Janjaweed militia and Chinese forces. The Black South Sudan military forces are not strong enough to defense the roadless cities they are deployed in much less push the central government and Chinese forces out. This situation will offer local Al-Qaeda cells and operatives a target rich environment.
The Chinese are extending their military condon sanitaria around their oil operations in southern Sudan and are refusing to allow the Black Sudanese to use their oil maintenance roads (the only paved surfaces in the south) to either transport people or food and supplies to the refugee camps. The Chinese oil companies like (CNPC) are pushing the local south Sundaes people, with out any compensation further away from both their oil production sits and the oil pipeline in southern Sudan in hopes of consolidating their security position. The projection of Chinese backed rebels to N’Djamena allows the Chinese forces grounds in Sudan to consolidated greater control over southern Sudan before the annual rainy season starts and the military situation becomes frozen until fall. CNPC is developing oil production in Chad’s Doba Basin.
The Chinese military command in Sudan needs to upgrade it’s logistically links CNPC operations in Chad with other oil production in southern Sudan. Backing the Chad insurgency movement allows Chinese and Sudanese forces to create the necessary logistical supply lines they need on the ground in eastern Chad to protect Chinese oil interests in the event of a civil war in Chad or a rebellion in Durfur.
The Oval Office appears to be using the American public fears of civil wars in East Africa to justified the abandonment any official containment of Chinese expansion in Sudan and try to take part of the Sudan oil riches for the American oil multinationals.
At the core of the application of this new Oval Office policy is the secret support of an illegal American oil operation (Cliveden Chad- Sudan) using Chadian rebels, some American, trained and equipped by Sudan and Chinese military forces, cooperating with US/French force for the past two years in Darfur. This back door US oil lobby move into Sudan has reduced the US civil right policy toward Black Sudanese to nothing more than a cheap political ruse.
A British Cannel 4 News investigation has discovered a signed 25-year contact with an American consortium led by the Cliveden Group to drill for oil in southern Sudan and Darfur. In late 2003, Cliveden Sudan acquired the biggest stake in the Block C consortium drilling for oil Block C runs from Darfur to deep into southern Sudan.
Two Chinese corporations were reportedly given an option of 50 percent of the deal. This is the tip of the iceberg of a new White House oil centric shift in US Sudanese policy, led by Condoleezza Rice and Paul Wolfowitz.
US oil companies are trying to initially piggyback the Chinese relationship in Sudan. The American oil operations in Sudan will use Chinese oil pipelines to export their oil. In the long-term the Cameroon-Chad pipeline was constructed with Darfur and southern Sudan in mind. The Chinese have quietly started buying control of the pipeline via Cliveden.
While it appears that China is welling to political acquiesce to world pressure to some limited free southern Sudan. It remain very unclear, after the downsizing of the military roles of central governments of Chad and Sudan, what the nature and form southern Sudan freedom will take in terms of China and other Asia oil companies. The Chad pipeline model was the proto type of new oil deals with oil rich states like South Sudan. With Sudanese and Chinese troops on the grounds in Chad protection CNPC operations, this may change.
When the Westren military forces take control of the Durfur crisis, the Oval Office will be positioned to quietly moved to option B, which called for forcing the SPLA and other Black groups in Sudan to honor the framework of the US brokered power sharing agreement with the central government of Sudan. This agreement allows CNPC and ExxonMobil the opportunity to develop oil production in both Chad and South Sudan.
Osama Bin Laden understands the dynamics of the emgering situation and has called for Al-Qaeda to open up military campaign in westren Sudan by mujahedeen (Islamic fighters) rather than Janjaweed militia against the plunders (westren and Asian) in order to move into the political vacuum created by the military downsizing of the central government of Sudan. His is de facto trying to separate the pro-China element from the Islamic elements within the Janjaweed and Sudanese. A heavy armed western UN peacekeeping force of 20,000, confront 40, 000 Sudanese and 13,000 Chinese guest workers creates just the kind situation bin Laden is looking for.
If the New York Times and other western newspapers would used public opinion challenge CNPC and Exxon Mobil announced that all East African oil deals will be a 50/50 profit sharing, with 90 percent of the billion of dollars profit going to areas the oil fields are located, many lives could be saved and maybe the spring planting season.
The people of East African have suffered enough.
If CNPC and Exxon Mobil announced that all East African oil deals will be a 50/50 profit sharing, with 90 percent of the billion of dollars profit going to areas the oil fields are located, most of the growing tension in region would disappear. China has 700 billion dollar, money is not the point. Exxon Mobil has 70 billion in near cash, money is not their problem.