Thursday, April 20, 2006

ExxonMobil and Chinese Oil Companies and Civeden Group

China and US working to take down elected government in Chad
in order to protect oil multi national oil companies

American rebel forces armed and trained by Sudanese and Chinese

According to the New York Time China’s project import oil need, according to articles from Foreign Affairs, Center for Strategic and International Studies and Oval Office studies will be 10 million barrels of oil a day (mbpd) by 2025. China current need to import of 3.5 mbpd. Chad and Sudan oil production potentially could provide between a million to two million mbpd of that need. China is aggressively trying to ensure these countries will remain under it control.

The elected government of Chad has cut a deal with Taiwan to potential share profits 50/50.Chinese and American oil companies are paying less the 5 percent. Chinese has deployed Sudanese backed Chadian rebels to over the government in order to consoildate Chinese control over oil production in Chad.

The Front for the Democratic Change (FDC) rebels group that reportedly attack mainly empty federal governments builds in N’DJAMENA, the capital of Chad, launched their attack from Darfur, Sudan. The insurgent military attack was designed to send a message to the Chadian central government to back off the new oil massive deal with Taiwan. The rebel strike had only psychological value, but did demonstrate the rebel ability to project power cross the country. The attack raised serious questions about how such a large rebel force could penetrate the French defense of Chad to launch a large-scale attack in the capital.

Many in the ranks of the insurgent’s Chadian are living in the United States. Some of the rebels are the subjects of articles in the main stream American media, such as the Christian Science Monitor. Purported the rebels were transported to the capital in Japanese small trucks and SUV’s supplied by the Sudanese military.

The rebel attack was timed for the visit of Taiwan Minister of Foreign Affairs James Huang, in N’DJAMENA . Mr. Huang is in Chad reportedly to counter China’s aggressive attempt to win over elements in the central government and other countries in the region. Chad has developed an oil deal with Taiwan that potential could redefine oil deals in all of East Africa. And at the same time cost China billion of dollars of increase oil cost.

According to the Taipei Times January 19, 2006, Chinese Petroleum of Taiwan signed a contract with the government of Chad to develop a total of 180,000 of barrels of crude. A key term in the deal is a potential 50/50 sharing of revenues. Under these terms would get 50 percent of 4.5 billion dollars or 2.3 billion each year. This would be ten times the amount paid either by the Chinese or American oil companies in the region. The Taiwan oil would have to be transported via the ExxonMobil pipeline out of Chad.

The current Exxon Mobil-led consortium had made over 7 billion dollar on Chad oil between 2003-2005, paying the central government only 207 million dollar. The Taiwan deal potential will set a new international standard profit sharing paying Chad 50 percent or 3.5 billion using the Exxon Mobil deal. This new 50/50 sharing would potential destroy the Chinese’s, ExxonMobil and World Bank existing reimbursement models in Africa. This is the same model that the leadership of South Sudan is trying to create for all new oil deals in southern Sudan. China and other Asian oil companies are pushing Sudanese oil production to 500,000 but are only paying a royalty of 5 percent on each barrel exported.

The Taiwan/Chad deal is model on the terms of Dr.Garang for South Sudan. Under a revenue agreement negotiated by the late Dr. Garang, first Vice President of Sudan and President of the South Sudan and the White Nile Ltd. Oil Company, the South Sudan government and the central government of Sudan would divide 8.4 billion to 10.8 billion in equal shares per year for three years. After that period, the South Sudan would keep all the revenues. This calculation is based on a 60/40 ratio of revenue sharing. This does not account for the fact that White Nile Ltd. is 50 percent owned by state-owned Nile Petroleum Corporation of South Sudan.

The While Nile revenue sharing regime is four times greater or 3 to 4 billion more each year than the Total SA revenue regime. The South Sudan government would have 4.2 billion to 5.4 billion for its future operational budget. Also, the South Sudan government could leverage its revenue for many different types of loans to address pressing issues like education, health care, national defense or Darfur.

This revenue sharing regime with White Nile would realize far more revenue for the new South Sudan state. Four to five times the amount of oil revenues the first six years and 10 times the amount of Total oil company revenue sharing regime after year six. The different in the two regimes over just six years in 18 to 24 billion dollars of social programming. For a poor struggle country like South Sudan that a lot of money for a lot of needs. The immediate needs of Darfur are estimated at 2 billion dollar.

For the war torned southern regions of Chad and Sudan this potential increase oil revenues is very critical to southern Chad and Sudan recovery and economic development. The Taiwan/Chad oil deal would open the door for South Sudan to create the same kind of deals. This would force the Chinese, French and Americans oil companies to share 50/50 with the East African countries, rather than give then a royalty that is nothing compare to the world market value of the oil.

The Exxon Mobile Cameroon/Chad pipeline is located near the Chinese major Cliveden Group oil fields, which are right next to the French oil multinational Total SA Block B claim.

In 2003, President Bush fired Africa last best hope Colin Powell and started the policy transition to acquiesce to the US oil lobby delusion of partnership with the China National Petroleum Crop in Sudan. Paul Wolfowitz, the new president of the World Bank and his Department of Defense planners and Special Forces has replaced the US State Department function on the ground in Sudan.

The White House aggressive facilitation of Black Sudanese genocide is designed to show the Chinese government, their ability to broker a deal to control the Black Southern Sudanese problem.

This is the secrete logic behind President Bush’s fusion of the CIA and Sudan intelligence operations and the open refusal to arm the Sudan People Liberation Army to defense the Black Sudanese or the people of Darfur. The Oval Office is trying to make Chad and southern Sudan political safe for expanding Chinese oil production, in exchange for China allowing US oil companies to increase production in Chad and start production in Sudan. The US oil lobby is trying to build a strong need dependency element in the emerging US/Chinese partnership for oil production in Sudan.

Americans are deeply concerned about the political situation in East Africa, particularly the US oil lobby takeover of the post Colin Powell US Sudanese policy of “look the other way” policy toward Sudanese central government. The continued collapse of American support for the Iraq war is limiting the option of the Bush Administration ability to brokering the next phase of end of the Sudan civil war.

The Oval Office appears to be using the American public fears of civil wars in East Africa to justified the abandonment any official containment of Chinese expansion in Sudan and try to take part of the Sudan oil riches for the American oil multinationals.

At the core of the application of this new Oval Office policy is the secret support of an illegal American oil operation (Cliveden Chad- Sudan) using Chadian rebels, some American, trained and equipped by Sudan and Chinese military forces, cooperating with US/French force for the past two years in Darfur. This back door US oil lobby move into Sudan has reduced the US civil right policy toward Black Sudanese to nothing more than a cheap political ruse.

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