Failure of New Chinese nuclear containment policy
US military attack on Iran nuclear infrastructure
Would give more Middle East and Africa oil to China
By Isiah Scott
Afrocentric analysis
According to the Carnegie Endowment Isreal "is believed to have deployed" 100 Jericho short-range and medium-range missile that are nuclear-capable. Isreal also has sea-launched cruise missile on nuclear-armed submarines.
With the exception of a few die-hard pro-Israeli lobbyists, most informed Black Americans understand that passage of the new Bush Indian nuclear deal ensures that Iran will joint the nuclear elite sooner not later.
The new US Chinese containment policy puts the Bush administration is an extremely difficult situation with Iran. Its morally and politically impossible for the United States and Israeli to increase sales of nuclear related exports and anti-missile technologies to Indian for billions of dollars and say anything to China about arming Iran with nuclear systems.
The political gridlock between President Bush and the Republican party leadership over New Orleans and immigration reform makes the Oval Office task of building public support for attacking Iran very political dangerous so close to fall elections.
The military relations between Iran and China are based on China’s critical and growing need for oil to feed its oil-centric energy economy and growing automobile industry. This energy centric relation is deepening as the near-term oil supply of Middle East oil tightens. The White House has failed to educate the American population to the depth of the emerging China/Iran dynamics. The support enjoyed by the ruthless state of Sudan, is just a first approximation of the powerful of the need China has for Iranian oil. Iran is emerging as China’s Saudi Arabia.
Iran has the air, sea and land physical military infrastructure to create a small but very powerful nuclear deterrent. A nuclear arm Iranian submarine force poses the great threat to both Israel and region security.
The US new policy of looking the other way on Indian nuclear proliferation is a critical aspect of a increasing failed US containment policy directed at China growing ICBM and missile submarine posture. China program of arming of Iran with both nuclear and non-nuclear weapons fixes very nicely into China long-term Middle East plan to counter-balance the US control of the region.
If the US attacked or allowed an attack on Iran, the leadership and other Middle East oil exports would demand and get the deployment of a Chinese 094 ICBM battle group to the Middle East. Middle East countries are pressing China to project power into the region to protect itself oil supply lines. A US attack on Iran would force Iran to also joint the line of countries looking to order Chinese-made ICBM missile boats.
An American attack would triggers a Middle East arms race.
Western European and American planners have feared the nuclear arming of a major oil-state since the British left the region in 1964, because the British economy collapsed. The US is downing it forward military posture, even with the deployments in Iraq. Containment of a nuclear armed and Chinese-backed Iran will be very costly.
The real question for African American nuclear policy planners is what number; platform and range of nuclear-armed missiles can Israel current leadership be forced by America to live with before it reaches the political and emotional point of no return. The same political reasons and logic India is expanding its nuclear deterrent against China and Pakistan, Iran will develop its deterrent against Israeli and the US. Iran and other oil rich non-nuclear countries are exploiting China oil centric dependency and energy sector weakness to push their nation agenda.
Other oil rich states of Nigeria, Venezuela and Sudan are actively watching both India and Iran nuclear program. The nuclear-tip cruise missiles are emerging as the nuclear system of choice for most new nuclear players.
The growing speculation of a US military attack on Iran nuclear infrastructure must be understood in the context of the larger US-Chinese political economy. The American Congress and public are not ready for another Middle East war. Particularly a war against an oil rich country backed by both Russian and China that can provide a short-term solution to Asia’s energy crisis.
A US attack on Iran would collapse Chinese and American trade. Middle East oil is more important to China long-term economy growth than sinking US/Chinese 200 billion dollar trade. A US attack on Iran would force Japan to develop a political reposition on Israel in order to continue to shipments of Middle East oil.
Chinese and Middle East support for US debt serving is too critical for any slow down of the massive rollover. Any political stoppage of Asian or Middle Eastern support US debt pushes the US into an economic depression. This economic crisis would leave the Middle East, Africa and South America open to major Chinese political and economic penetration.
All this would be done to protect Israel from the threat of a nuclear-armed Iran. Iran nuclear potential will not come on line for three to five years. There is no oil in Israel. The moral support enjoy by Israel in the past 50 years is giving way to the nightmare realities of the West Bank and Iraqi and the fact that a critical and growing group of Americans no longer feel the US needs or can afford to continue to unconditionally support Israel colonialization plans in the Middle East.
The Chinese nuclear program is changing the streagtic relations between the US, Iran and Israel. The Chinese streagtic threat is change more industrial than military. There are few exports the Chinese and Japanese cannot provide the emerging Middle East economies. Billion of dollars of Middle East investors are pouring into Asian stock markets. Much of this money is coming from Middle East central banks and institutional investors.
If there was large amount of oil in the West Bank, an attack on Iran might work, as things are now, with over 100,000 US troops in oil rich Iraqi, the military need for Israel is of limited and decreasing in its streagtic value to over all US Middle East policy.
The critical oil connection between Iran and China would not be made in most Americans mind first, but after the issue moral support Israel. It is increasing hard for the America public to understand why Americans children must die for a country, Isreal, that appear to young Americans to already has enough nuclear weapons to defense itself against a weak country like Iran. Americans have little understanding of the emtional reailty of the people of Isreal.
A US military attack however small and selective would drive the Iranian leaders to demand that the Russians and Chinese provide the Iranian military with nuclear delivery systems for land, air and sea platforms and in a few years-defensive nuclear weapons from a third country. Failure to do so would mean China would lose political face. The Chinese would be forced in exchange for increase oil exports, to provide the Iranians with small attack submarines and nuclear-tip cruise missiles. The nuclear warhead ICBM’s would come later.
The Israeli would be forced to acquire up grade under water detection systems and technologies from the US to track both Chinese and Iranian submarines. Israel already has six nuclear-armed submarines. Iran has four submarines that can be nuclear armed.
Nuclear-armed Iran submarines could reach any Israeli city or military target.
The newer JL II front line Chinese ICBM sea launch missiles can reach central Europe.
If Iran follows Israel naval policy and deploys nuclear tip cruise submarines in the eastern Mediterranean Sea, the balance of military power would change. There is no operational anti-missile system to stop sea fired Rusiian or Chinese cruise submarine missiles.
With the cheaper Chinese submarines going for 200 million dollars, a poor country like Nigeria could get in the game from less than 2 billion dollars.
Would give more Middle East and Africa oil to China
By Isiah Scott
Afrocentric analysis
According to the Carnegie Endowment Isreal "is believed to have deployed" 100 Jericho short-range and medium-range missile that are nuclear-capable. Isreal also has sea-launched cruise missile on nuclear-armed submarines.
With the exception of a few die-hard pro-Israeli lobbyists, most informed Black Americans understand that passage of the new Bush Indian nuclear deal ensures that Iran will joint the nuclear elite sooner not later.
The new US Chinese containment policy puts the Bush administration is an extremely difficult situation with Iran. Its morally and politically impossible for the United States and Israeli to increase sales of nuclear related exports and anti-missile technologies to Indian for billions of dollars and say anything to China about arming Iran with nuclear systems.
The political gridlock between President Bush and the Republican party leadership over New Orleans and immigration reform makes the Oval Office task of building public support for attacking Iran very political dangerous so close to fall elections.
The military relations between Iran and China are based on China’s critical and growing need for oil to feed its oil-centric energy economy and growing automobile industry. This energy centric relation is deepening as the near-term oil supply of Middle East oil tightens. The White House has failed to educate the American population to the depth of the emerging China/Iran dynamics. The support enjoyed by the ruthless state of Sudan, is just a first approximation of the powerful of the need China has for Iranian oil. Iran is emerging as China’s Saudi Arabia.
Iran has the air, sea and land physical military infrastructure to create a small but very powerful nuclear deterrent. A nuclear arm Iranian submarine force poses the great threat to both Israel and region security.
The US new policy of looking the other way on Indian nuclear proliferation is a critical aspect of a increasing failed US containment policy directed at China growing ICBM and missile submarine posture. China program of arming of Iran with both nuclear and non-nuclear weapons fixes very nicely into China long-term Middle East plan to counter-balance the US control of the region.
If the US attacked or allowed an attack on Iran, the leadership and other Middle East oil exports would demand and get the deployment of a Chinese 094 ICBM battle group to the Middle East. Middle East countries are pressing China to project power into the region to protect itself oil supply lines. A US attack on Iran would force Iran to also joint the line of countries looking to order Chinese-made ICBM missile boats.
An American attack would triggers a Middle East arms race.
Western European and American planners have feared the nuclear arming of a major oil-state since the British left the region in 1964, because the British economy collapsed. The US is downing it forward military posture, even with the deployments in Iraq. Containment of a nuclear armed and Chinese-backed Iran will be very costly.
The real question for African American nuclear policy planners is what number; platform and range of nuclear-armed missiles can Israel current leadership be forced by America to live with before it reaches the political and emotional point of no return. The same political reasons and logic India is expanding its nuclear deterrent against China and Pakistan, Iran will develop its deterrent against Israeli and the US. Iran and other oil rich non-nuclear countries are exploiting China oil centric dependency and energy sector weakness to push their nation agenda.
Other oil rich states of Nigeria, Venezuela and Sudan are actively watching both India and Iran nuclear program. The nuclear-tip cruise missiles are emerging as the nuclear system of choice for most new nuclear players.
The growing speculation of a US military attack on Iran nuclear infrastructure must be understood in the context of the larger US-Chinese political economy. The American Congress and public are not ready for another Middle East war. Particularly a war against an oil rich country backed by both Russian and China that can provide a short-term solution to Asia’s energy crisis.
A US attack on Iran would collapse Chinese and American trade. Middle East oil is more important to China long-term economy growth than sinking US/Chinese 200 billion dollar trade. A US attack on Iran would force Japan to develop a political reposition on Israel in order to continue to shipments of Middle East oil.
Chinese and Middle East support for US debt serving is too critical for any slow down of the massive rollover. Any political stoppage of Asian or Middle Eastern support US debt pushes the US into an economic depression. This economic crisis would leave the Middle East, Africa and South America open to major Chinese political and economic penetration.
All this would be done to protect Israel from the threat of a nuclear-armed Iran. Iran nuclear potential will not come on line for three to five years. There is no oil in Israel. The moral support enjoy by Israel in the past 50 years is giving way to the nightmare realities of the West Bank and Iraqi and the fact that a critical and growing group of Americans no longer feel the US needs or can afford to continue to unconditionally support Israel colonialization plans in the Middle East.
The Chinese nuclear program is changing the streagtic relations between the US, Iran and Israel. The Chinese streagtic threat is change more industrial than military. There are few exports the Chinese and Japanese cannot provide the emerging Middle East economies. Billion of dollars of Middle East investors are pouring into Asian stock markets. Much of this money is coming from Middle East central banks and institutional investors.
If there was large amount of oil in the West Bank, an attack on Iran might work, as things are now, with over 100,000 US troops in oil rich Iraqi, the military need for Israel is of limited and decreasing in its streagtic value to over all US Middle East policy.
The critical oil connection between Iran and China would not be made in most Americans mind first, but after the issue moral support Israel. It is increasing hard for the America public to understand why Americans children must die for a country, Isreal, that appear to young Americans to already has enough nuclear weapons to defense itself against a weak country like Iran. Americans have little understanding of the emtional reailty of the people of Isreal.
A US military attack however small and selective would drive the Iranian leaders to demand that the Russians and Chinese provide the Iranian military with nuclear delivery systems for land, air and sea platforms and in a few years-defensive nuclear weapons from a third country. Failure to do so would mean China would lose political face. The Chinese would be forced in exchange for increase oil exports, to provide the Iranians with small attack submarines and nuclear-tip cruise missiles. The nuclear warhead ICBM’s would come later.
The Israeli would be forced to acquire up grade under water detection systems and technologies from the US to track both Chinese and Iranian submarines. Israel already has six nuclear-armed submarines. Iran has four submarines that can be nuclear armed.
Nuclear-armed Iran submarines could reach any Israeli city or military target.
The newer JL II front line Chinese ICBM sea launch missiles can reach central Europe.
If Iran follows Israel naval policy and deploys nuclear tip cruise submarines in the eastern Mediterranean Sea, the balance of military power would change. There is no operational anti-missile system to stop sea fired Rusiian or Chinese cruise submarine missiles.
With the cheaper Chinese submarines going for 200 million dollars, a poor country like Nigeria could get in the game from less than 2 billion dollars.
posted by Nubianobserver at 10:18 AM
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