Monday, August 07, 2006

Peace will cost oil lobby Hezhollah as pretext to Attack Iran

Time is running out for US/Israeli attack on Iran

While the world looks at the human drama is Lebanon, the oil lobby worry about Saudi oil fields.

Iran is acquiring nuclear capability from China for existing air, land and sea delivery platforms. Major Saudi oil infrastructure is already well within range of many different types of Iranian missiles. Hundred of billions of dollars of oil going to North America, Japan and Europe is exposed to Iranian missile attack.

The first step in limiting Iran power is destroying its nuclear and missile manufacturing potential. In order to launch an US/Israeli military attack on Iran, a pretext must be created. The western media is trying to use Hezbollah’s massive missile attacks on Israel as the political pretext. The problem is Hezbollah is trying to find a path to a peace agreement.

The oil lobby is short on time.

The only political question is how soon before 2010, not 2015 Iran will get nuclear heads from China.

Iran is one political event away from China transferring them the nuclear warheads to arm their missiles. The planned oil lobby military attack on Iran land nuclear plants could be the event that triggers the transfer of Chinese nuclear warheads.

Key to understanding the Iranian nuclear program is to understand the importance of a space-based early warning and GPS weapon targeting system. This new space-based system raises the political cost to the western oil lobby and Israel that would try to destroy it. The GPS platform also allows Iran and Hezbollah a whole new communication grid and new range of advanced GPS weapon applications. This increase number of applications , as in the case of China's own ICBM program, will overwhelm the Saudi and Israeli defense countermeasure. Also, the lack of a strong Saudi Arabian antimissile shield allows Iran to politically leverage its lethal non-nuclear missile program as it moves toward nuclear armament.

Only the US navy and US Space Command have the immediate antimissile shield potential to limit the impact of an Iranian missile attack on Saudi oil infrastructure. The major United States concern is Saudi oil, not Israel nationasecruityty. Hezbollah missile attacks on northern Israel clearly demonstrate the limits to any antimissile shield to micro missile attack. Saudi Arabia, like Israel is badly in need of an antimissile shield like the multi billion dollar antimissile shield under construction in the Sea of Japan to protect Japan from hundreds of North Korean and Chinese missiles targeting its cities. The Bush administration needs time to sale the American public on the idea of an antimissile shield for both Saudi oil and Israel.

China understands this Bush problem and is making a move to take control of more Middle Eastern oil via Iran by breaking the control of westren oil companies.

Without the forward positioning of a powerful nuclear retaliatory threat in Israel and a degraded Iran missile threat, the western oil lobby would be force to rely on the United States and European Union nuclear deterrent and threats to try to control oil producing countries. Americans and Europeans are not willing to die for the ExxonMobil or other oil companies to maintain control over foreign oil assets.

Controlling and down grading Hezbollah missile attacks is the first step toward the long-term goal of the western oil lobby creating the pretext to destroying Iran manufacture and nuclear program.

While the world ponders the missing details of the United States/French draft UN Security Council resolution that would bring a full cessation of hostilities but enable Israeli forces to stay in Lebanon until deployment of a French led international peacekeeping force is deployed. The US resolution itself and other evidence is surfacing that the ruthless Israeli military campaign and cease-fire has little to do with the political reality of Hezbollah or Israel and all to do with the need to destroy the emerging Iran missile and nuclear threat to the western oil lobby.

The draft UN Security Council resolution de facto sets the terms for an Israeli no fly zone and continued bombing of the state of Lebanon, not the task of disarming of Hezbollah. Critically missing from the resolution is the key issues of stopping the resupply of Israel by the United States and Hezbollah by China, the return of the two Israeli soldiers, a prison exchange, humanitarian aid, air and antimissile defenses that will protect Lebanon cities from both Israel and Hezhollah air and missile attacks.

The critical economic issue of who is going to fund the reconstruction of the three billion dollar of destruction to the Lebanon economy is not on the table.

The French lead rapid-reaction troops are not designed and lack the military means to protect southern Lebaneses towns and cities from Israeli attack either from the air, ground or sea.

According to Nabih Berri, the Lebanese parliament speaker what was agreed (French-US plan) is not in Lebanons interests but against them. This will open the door to never-ending war There will be operations against this army that is not on its own soil, that is occupying here.Their resolution will either drop Lebanon internal strife or will be impossible to implement.

According to the Christian Science Monitor, the Beirut government seven point peace plan calls for beside an immediate-fire, complete Israeli withdrawal, and a UN stabilization force, Lebanese mostly from the south, a prisoner swap, and a return to Lebanon of the disputed Shebaa.

Critical but missing from both plans is clear details on the upgrade of the Lebanons army to the point of being able to engage and defend the state of Lebanon it people against either the Israeli or Hezbollah forces.

Reviews of public domain evidence suggest the military move by Israel back in move into Lebanon was made in Washington and New York months before July when the crisis became hot.

According to a series of press releases from the US Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon on June 14, 2006 the Commanding General of the US Special Operation Command (SOCCENT) Major General Frank Kearney met Lebanese Commanding General Michel Sleiman, the Chief of Staff Major and the commanders of Lebanese Special Operations unit.

The talks appears to be framed around US help in creating a Colombia B air mobile strike forces to connected to elements of the US 6th fleet and US Space Command in order to disarm the Hezbollah is southern Lebanon. According to US General John Abizaid, who heads the US Central Command told the Senate Armed Service Committee, August 3,2006 the Lebanese armed forces need a significant upgrade of equipment and training capability particularly the United States, can assist with it will never work for Lebanon if, over time, Hezbollah has a greater military capacity than the Lebanese armed forces. Hezbollah has over 10,000 missiles and is being resupply with more advanced and longer ranges missiles. A Lebanses force to deal with Israel would need powerful air, land sea elements.

The Colombia B air mobile strike forces were designed to project US oil operations in Colombia, not drug. A Lebanon air mobile forces armed to US missiles would be a major step toward the Colombia model. This is key element of a large US/Israeli plan to use southern Lebanon as a front basing location for an attack on Iran.

According to Patrick Dvenny in the winter issue 2006 of Middle East Quarterly Hezbollanhs Strategic Threat to Israel. "As Israel and Its closest ally the United States consider some form of confrontation with Iran, Tehrans Hezbollah card raises many question: would an Israeli government be willing to risk a high level of damage in order to accomplish the goal of crippling Irans nuclear infrastructure? There was no other reason offered by the author for allowing a massive missile attack by Hezbollah on northern Israeli towns and cities.

Since early July, over 2000 manufactured or designed Chinese missiles have fallen on Israelis towns and cities. This Israeli provoked Hezbollah missile attack has opened both Israelis and Americans public to idea of the immediate need to address the Iran missile production now, and not wait until later Iran goes nuclear. The problem is the western media has not been able to connect Iran nuclear threat and Hezbollah small missiles in the minds of a critical political segment of Americans. Hezbollah public relations management of Qana and other Israeli mistakes has made making the connection very difficult.

While the Patrick Dvenny scenario was still academic in winter issue of 2006 of the Middle East Quarterly, it appears it was already being operationialzed in New York and Washington. In July of this year the scenario was transformed from academic to operational reality in Israel.

At the core of this oil lobby policy is the notion that if Iran is able to create a credible nuclear deterrent to Israel, that Saudi Arabia, other oil producing countries would no longer fear western multinationals oil companies and their control would dissipate. With the creation of a new political economy of the Middle East oil production would be centered on export to China, not the North America or western Europe.

Without a sole powerful nuclear retaliatory threat in Israel and a degraded Iran missile threat, the western oil lobby would be force to rely on the United States and European Union nuclear deterrent. Americans and Europeans government are to slow in reponsing to oil lobby needs.

The augmentation and modernization of the Iranian capability poses a significant threat to the hegemony of western oil companies of Middle East oil. The national security of Israel, Turkey, Qatar, Egypt, Jordan, and Morocco are secondary concerns to the control of oil.

Russia is building Iran a small but powerful space-based defense grid that can destroy guide missile and laser guided bombs. This grid is designed to piggyback onto both the Russian and Chinese space-based defense systems. The grid will allow Iran to deploy a new generation of GSP weapon systems. The Sinah-1 satellite is a critical interlock element of the new construction of the Iran grid. Once the Iran grid move to the next level of construct, only the US Space Command, not Israel has the weapon systems to destroy it. Once Iran is integrated into the Chinese grid, it will be impossible to destroy within destroying part of the Chinese grid, which will be an act of war against China. This emerging reality, not the events on the ground in northern Israel is driving the critical path toward attack of Iran.

The Oil lobby of opportunity to destroy this new Iranian space-based grid is closing.

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