President of Spelman opens portal to why African-American college enrollment is falling
ETS 2000 analysis correctly predicts collapse of growth African-American college enrollment under pressure of massive Chinese slave labor imports
What the president of Spelman College could not say and keep her job!
According to the American Council on Education 2006 report on minority undergraduate and graduate enrollments, Black College enrollment growth has fallen from 150,000 increases per year for the last 10 years or 1.5 million students to a projected 27,000 per year. For the next 9 years the College Board and the Educational Testing Service (ETS) demographic enrollment growth models, predict that Black enrollment will first flatline around 27,000 per years of undergraduate and then falls in absolute numbers until 2015. The FBI most dangerous 25 cities and New York city are also the most educationally endanger public school systems in the nation. These economic regions also are home to the most advanced Black industrial workforce and infrastructure still remaining in North America.
The Black working and middle classes are not longer reproducing themslves in absolute numbers.
Despite six years of ruthless attacks by multinational Chinese imports and inner city unemployment levels three times the Great Depression (80 percent), other major economic and educational challenges, minority enrollment rose by 50.7 percent to 4.7 million between 1993 and 2003. With over 4.5 trillion dollars of Chinese manufacturing imports and the downsizing of American industrial economies, urban schools systems have enter critical mass and deepen their triage of at risk-Black students. Other African American families are hard pressed to afford the increasing cost of college. Most of the recent growth reported in the American Council on Education 2006 report was non-African American minorities. While Hispanic was the largest growth group, Asians were the fastest growing group.
Chinese destruction of US manufacturing and massive federal educational cuts are the leading factors in the existing gaps in college participation for a growing number of Americans is at risk of losing access to a college education. Urban demographic and Chinese slave labor forces are converging to seriously limit college access over the next decade.
According to the States’ Center for Community College Policy—“the United States is falling behind other industrialized countries in college participation and other measure of postsecondary access and attainment”.
In a very carefully worded comment by the president of Spelman College to the just released American Council on Education report on minority undergraduate and graduate enrollments said --“Students of color often have limited access to the courses they need… (and) college guidance. And a key reason some minority college students don’t persist is because “they’re simply running out of money”. Minorities earned 22 percent of all bachelors’ in 2002-2001. This rate has started to fall under the Bush administration educational cuts.
These financially at risk African Americans are the 25-30 percent of African Americans lucky enough to make it out of failing inner city high schools with a functional education and critical thinking tools.
ETS prediction in the year 2000 of African American college age student enrollment flatlining has come dangerously true ten years before the predicted date of 2015.
While Ms. Tatum statement is true and important to understanding a critical aspect the Black enrollment crisis. But Tatum comment, as far as it goes, it is only the tip of a very large educational iceberg and crisis. Millions of college age African American and other minority’s will never made it out of high school to apply to college. More Black and Afro Latino males are physically in jail than in college. The number of Black women incarcerated and in the US criminal justice system is growing expeditionally. Over five million other college-age minority youth unemployed out of school or out of the workforce.
According to a forgotten 2000 ETS report” Crossing the Great Divide: Can We Achieve Equity When Generation Y Goes College?”—Black undergraduates will be relatively modest increase (less 1.3 percent). Using updated data from the American Council on Education 2006 report, Black enrollment will only increase in absolute terms less than 1.3 percent or 27, 000 students per year over the period 2006 to until 2015 it was understood that enrollment could not be sustained and in the end would collapse. Relative to the projected increase of 2.6 millions new minority enrollment African American numbers will fall both in relative and absolute terms. The Princeton ETS study “Crossing the Great Divide: Can We Achieve Equity When Generation Y Goes College?”predicts that other than African Americans minorities will make up 2.2 million new students by 2015. A dramatic proportion of the new students 8.5 in 10 will not be African Americans.
According to the Princeton ETS findings by boosting African America and Hispanic educational attainment to the same level as Whites 231 billion dollars would be added annually to the U.S. and 80 billion dollars in new public revenues. This political myth which becomes standard educational strategic planning cross the country did not publicly take into account the emerging destructive educational consequences of trillions of dollars of cheap Chinese manufacturing imports on American higher education. While the Princeton findings openly predicted that White and Black manufacturing workers families would suffer the most from the Chinese globalization of American manufacturing.
The ETS report correctly point out that African American will make 14.5 percent of all 18-24-years olds, but only 11.9 percent of 18-to-24 old undergraduates—a gap of 2.6 percentage point, compared to a 2.5 percentage point gap in 1995. The post Chinese trillion import attack, black levels of enrollment are starting to drop to nightmare levels. Two of the major economic illusions of the Princeton findings were 1) older students would make up 31 percent or 800,000 of the projected 2.6 million rises. 2) The growth in enrollment would “cluster” in advanced manufacturing states California, Texas, Florida, New York, New Jersey, Maryland and Arizona. All these states have been come special targeted economies for ruthless head to head attacks by US multinationals exporting advanced manufacturing goods from slave labor platforms in China. There are few manufacturing products these states can make to deal with cheap Chinese like goods. These states are net exports of manufacturing jobs to Asia. These states face major fiscal challenges as they try to migrate to service economies.
Once national ranked public school systems are now reduced to day-care centers.
It’s becoming very clear to many American urban and industrial strategic planners that there will be serious implications for inner city demographics and economic of the decreases in the numbers of educated Black workers and managers to urban political economy. African Americans by 2015 will lack critical segments of the critical educated human infrastructure necessary to fully transition their families and communities from industrial-based societies to the paperless informational society emerging around them.
Informational based service economies place greater emphasis on post high school computer-based education and critical thinking skills. Transition to service economies requires advanced educational training accessed in public high schools and local colleges.
According to Dr.Richard A. Fry, a senior economist, one of the ETS report’s authors—said in 2000, before the massive downsizing of US manufacturing and emergence of the two trillion Chinese slave labor trade title wave destroying American jobs and Federal cut backs in higher education, “even if all those Black and Hispanic students qualified for college attend in 2015, Hispanics still will be 550,000 and Africa American 250,000 seat short of a share of college seat equivalent to their share of the (college-age) population.
The ETS report further predict that Hispanics will far surpass Blacks on campus, increasing from 1.4 million student in 1995, to more than 2.4 million over the period 2000 to 2015. Most of the additional 1 million Hispanic students expected to boost enrollment by 2015 will come from California, Texas, Florida and New York. What remains of these of these states manufacturing infrastructure is under increasing attack from Chinese slave labor manufacturing imports.
The number of Asian students is on target to surpass the Princeton project for 2015 of 1.3 million in 2008 and may equal or surpass African American by 2015.
The FBI most dangerous 25 cities and New York city are also the most educationally endanger public school systems. These cities also are home to the most advanced industrial infrastructure remaining in North America.The two million Black males in jail out number the Black males in four-year colleges. The ETS report says nothing about the educational potential of the 7 million unemployed American youth jailed by the import of two trillion dollars US multinationals Chinese slave manufacturing goods and Indian IT services.
The deeper implications of the fall of the relative numbers of African America students on Northern American campus go far beyond the myth of rising levels of diversity. It should be crystal clear that decreases in Black students enrollments cut to the core of urban political economy and the future of our democracy. African Americans by 2015 will seriously lack the human infrastructure necessary to transition to the paperless informational society emerging around them.
What the president of Spelman College could not say and keep her job!
According to the American Council on Education 2006 report on minority undergraduate and graduate enrollments, Black College enrollment growth has fallen from 150,000 increases per year for the last 10 years or 1.5 million students to a projected 27,000 per year. For the next 9 years the College Board and the Educational Testing Service (ETS) demographic enrollment growth models, predict that Black enrollment will first flatline around 27,000 per years of undergraduate and then falls in absolute numbers until 2015. The FBI most dangerous 25 cities and New York city are also the most educationally endanger public school systems in the nation. These economic regions also are home to the most advanced Black industrial workforce and infrastructure still remaining in North America.
The Black working and middle classes are not longer reproducing themslves in absolute numbers.
Despite six years of ruthless attacks by multinational Chinese imports and inner city unemployment levels three times the Great Depression (80 percent), other major economic and educational challenges, minority enrollment rose by 50.7 percent to 4.7 million between 1993 and 2003. With over 4.5 trillion dollars of Chinese manufacturing imports and the downsizing of American industrial economies, urban schools systems have enter critical mass and deepen their triage of at risk-Black students. Other African American families are hard pressed to afford the increasing cost of college. Most of the recent growth reported in the American Council on Education 2006 report was non-African American minorities. While Hispanic was the largest growth group, Asians were the fastest growing group.
Chinese destruction of US manufacturing and massive federal educational cuts are the leading factors in the existing gaps in college participation for a growing number of Americans is at risk of losing access to a college education. Urban demographic and Chinese slave labor forces are converging to seriously limit college access over the next decade.
According to the States’ Center for Community College Policy—“the United States is falling behind other industrialized countries in college participation and other measure of postsecondary access and attainment”.
In a very carefully worded comment by the president of Spelman College to the just released American Council on Education report on minority undergraduate and graduate enrollments said --“Students of color often have limited access to the courses they need… (and) college guidance. And a key reason some minority college students don’t persist is because “they’re simply running out of money”. Minorities earned 22 percent of all bachelors’ in 2002-2001. This rate has started to fall under the Bush administration educational cuts.
These financially at risk African Americans are the 25-30 percent of African Americans lucky enough to make it out of failing inner city high schools with a functional education and critical thinking tools.
ETS prediction in the year 2000 of African American college age student enrollment flatlining has come dangerously true ten years before the predicted date of 2015.
While Ms. Tatum statement is true and important to understanding a critical aspect the Black enrollment crisis. But Tatum comment, as far as it goes, it is only the tip of a very large educational iceberg and crisis. Millions of college age African American and other minority’s will never made it out of high school to apply to college. More Black and Afro Latino males are physically in jail than in college. The number of Black women incarcerated and in the US criminal justice system is growing expeditionally. Over five million other college-age minority youth unemployed out of school or out of the workforce.
According to a forgotten 2000 ETS report” Crossing the Great Divide: Can We Achieve Equity When Generation Y Goes College?”—Black undergraduates will be relatively modest increase (less 1.3 percent). Using updated data from the American Council on Education 2006 report, Black enrollment will only increase in absolute terms less than 1.3 percent or 27, 000 students per year over the period 2006 to until 2015 it was understood that enrollment could not be sustained and in the end would collapse. Relative to the projected increase of 2.6 millions new minority enrollment African American numbers will fall both in relative and absolute terms. The Princeton ETS study “Crossing the Great Divide: Can We Achieve Equity When Generation Y Goes College?”predicts that other than African Americans minorities will make up 2.2 million new students by 2015. A dramatic proportion of the new students 8.5 in 10 will not be African Americans.
According to the Princeton ETS findings by boosting African America and Hispanic educational attainment to the same level as Whites 231 billion dollars would be added annually to the U.S. and 80 billion dollars in new public revenues. This political myth which becomes standard educational strategic planning cross the country did not publicly take into account the emerging destructive educational consequences of trillions of dollars of cheap Chinese manufacturing imports on American higher education. While the Princeton findings openly predicted that White and Black manufacturing workers families would suffer the most from the Chinese globalization of American manufacturing.
The ETS report correctly point out that African American will make 14.5 percent of all 18-24-years olds, but only 11.9 percent of 18-to-24 old undergraduates—a gap of 2.6 percentage point, compared to a 2.5 percentage point gap in 1995. The post Chinese trillion import attack, black levels of enrollment are starting to drop to nightmare levels. Two of the major economic illusions of the Princeton findings were 1) older students would make up 31 percent or 800,000 of the projected 2.6 million rises. 2) The growth in enrollment would “cluster” in advanced manufacturing states California, Texas, Florida, New York, New Jersey, Maryland and Arizona. All these states have been come special targeted economies for ruthless head to head attacks by US multinationals exporting advanced manufacturing goods from slave labor platforms in China. There are few manufacturing products these states can make to deal with cheap Chinese like goods. These states are net exports of manufacturing jobs to Asia. These states face major fiscal challenges as they try to migrate to service economies.
Once national ranked public school systems are now reduced to day-care centers.
It’s becoming very clear to many American urban and industrial strategic planners that there will be serious implications for inner city demographics and economic of the decreases in the numbers of educated Black workers and managers to urban political economy. African Americans by 2015 will lack critical segments of the critical educated human infrastructure necessary to fully transition their families and communities from industrial-based societies to the paperless informational society emerging around them.
Informational based service economies place greater emphasis on post high school computer-based education and critical thinking skills. Transition to service economies requires advanced educational training accessed in public high schools and local colleges.
According to Dr.Richard A. Fry, a senior economist, one of the ETS report’s authors—said in 2000, before the massive downsizing of US manufacturing and emergence of the two trillion Chinese slave labor trade title wave destroying American jobs and Federal cut backs in higher education, “even if all those Black and Hispanic students qualified for college attend in 2015, Hispanics still will be 550,000 and Africa American 250,000 seat short of a share of college seat equivalent to their share of the (college-age) population.
The ETS report further predict that Hispanics will far surpass Blacks on campus, increasing from 1.4 million student in 1995, to more than 2.4 million over the period 2000 to 2015. Most of the additional 1 million Hispanic students expected to boost enrollment by 2015 will come from California, Texas, Florida and New York. What remains of these of these states manufacturing infrastructure is under increasing attack from Chinese slave labor manufacturing imports.
The number of Asian students is on target to surpass the Princeton project for 2015 of 1.3 million in 2008 and may equal or surpass African American by 2015.
The FBI most dangerous 25 cities and New York city are also the most educationally endanger public school systems. These cities also are home to the most advanced industrial infrastructure remaining in North America.The two million Black males in jail out number the Black males in four-year colleges. The ETS report says nothing about the educational potential of the 7 million unemployed American youth jailed by the import of two trillion dollars US multinationals Chinese slave manufacturing goods and Indian IT services.
The deeper implications of the fall of the relative numbers of African America students on Northern American campus go far beyond the myth of rising levels of diversity. It should be crystal clear that decreases in Black students enrollments cut to the core of urban political economy and the future of our democracy. African Americans by 2015 will seriously lack the human infrastructure necessary to transition to the paperless informational society emerging around them.
posted by Nubianobserver at 3:38 PM
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